Events surrounding the U.S. housing crash in many ways resemble
the Great Depression, including strings of failed bailout
plans and a reliance on voluntary compliance, policy experts
said on Thursday.
A panel of speakers at Bard College's Levy Economics Institute,
in Annandale-on-Hudson in upstate New York, offered a series
of proposals for grappling with the crisis. Among them was
the creation of an institution like the Depression-era's Home
Loan Corporation to put a floor under the mortgage market.
"There is some stuff that does have that eerie 1932
feel," said Thomas Ferguson, a professor of political
science at the University of Massachusetts, Boston, citing
regulators' "infinite confidence in moral suasion."
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The experts agreed that the housing boom contained the seeds
of its own demise, creating the illusion that prices could
rise indefinitely and leading to reckless risk-taking.
"One of the things that makes bubbles hard to control
is that so many people are making money off them while they
last," said Alex Pollock, a fellow at the American Enterprise
Institute who spent 35 years in the banking sector.
MINSKY MOMENT
The yearly conference is held in honor of Hyman Minsky, an
economist who argued that periods of financial stability provide
the perfect breeding ground for crisis, as investors' ability
to gauge risk is impaired by the prospect of consistently
lofty returns.
UMass' Ferguson maintained, however, that the current approach
of employing all of the Federal Reserve's monetary ammunition
to cushion the market's fall was doomed to failure, and would
hurt competition in the banking sector.
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