A global food crisis looms, as crops are diverted to biofuels.
Food prices have soared 83 percent in three years. Thousands
of U.S. farmers are pulling their land out of the government's
biggest conservation program to plant millions of acres back
to crops and pasture. U.S. environmentalists warn that "years
of conservation progress" will be lost as America's 35-million-acre
Conservation Reserve dwindles, especially in the important
bird-nesting areas of the northern Great Plains.
Global grain shortages are spreading. The World Food Program
says it must abandon some of the drought-stricken hungry.
U.S. hog farmers are quietly asking their veterinarians how
to euthanize their baby pigs, corn prices have risen so high
they'd bankrupt their families trying to feed the pigs to
market weight.
Europe is buying Asian palm oil from what used to be tropical
forests, to make biodiesel instead of cooking oil. Orangutans,
man's closest DNA relative, are being captured and killed
by the thousands as they're attracted by the palm seedlings.
EU biodiesel mandates exacerbate the world's cropland scarcity,
setting the stage for still-higher grain prices and more hunger
next year.
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Asian countries are banning rice exports to make sure they
can supply rice to their own consumers. Too much land in Asia
has been growing increasingly valuable corn and tapioca for
feed, instead of rice for food, because rich-country biofuel
mandates raised feed prices worldwide. But, increased population
and affluence continue to demand more rice.
Meanwhile, soil carbon lost from the replanted Midwest acres
and the cleared tropical forests gases into the air, worsening
global warming risks even as governments vainly promise to
cut greenhouse emissions. And gas prices continue to rise
All of this because of the rush to biofuels—the first,
big, panicked mistake of the global warming scare. The public
was sold on the now obviously foolish idea that it's better
to burn food in our fuel tanks than to feed people and raise
livestock from the world's scarce cropland.
Economists began predicting these awful consequences two
years ago when President Bush first announced his federal
biofuels mandate. We already needed to double crop yields
by 2050—to prevent the plow down of the world's remaining
wildlands while we supplied food and feed for the last global
surge of world population growth, fast-rising affluence, and
expanding pet numbers.
U.S. corn nets only about 50 gallons worth of gasoline per
acre per year, and Americans burn more than 134 billion gallons
of gasoline per year. We were already using virtually all
of the country's cropland to produce food and food. Biodiesel
is no more productive. The massive land requirements of biofuels
made this disaster inevitable—but few thought the disaster
would arrive so fast.
Over the past two years, corn has soared from $1.86 per bushel
to more than $6, and the U.S. spring planting intentions confirm
there won't be enough grain—for people or pigs—again
this year. If we refuse to burn coal, drill for oil, or build
nuclear power plants, this is what we must expect: hunger,
deprivation, and destruction of the planet's natural resources.
The earth's global warming since 1940 totals only 0.2 degree
C. We've had no warming at all for the past 10 years and temperatures
dropped in 2007—while CO2 in the atmosphere continued
to rise.
Must we sacrifice the wildlife even before we find out if
CO2 really controls the climate? As President Bush finally
caves in to the global warming alarmists, the answer is evidently
"yes."
Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow for the Hudson Institute
in Washington, DC and is the Director for the Center for Global
Food Issues. He was formerly a senior analyst for the Department
of State. He is co-author, with S. Fred Singer, of Unstoppable
Global Warming Every 1500 Hundred Years, Readers may write
him at PO Box 202, Churchville, VA 2442 or email to cgfi@hughes.net
.