At a time when even the Wall Street Journal has
disappeared into the maw of a huge media conglomerate, the New
York Times remains an independent newspaper. But it doesn't
show any independence in reporting or in thought.
The Times issued a mea culpa for letting its reporter, Judith
Miller, misinform readers about Iraq, thus helping the neoconservatives
set the stage for their invasion. Now the Times' reporting on
Iran seems to be repeating the mistake. After the US commits
another act of naked aggression by bombing Iran, will the Times
publish another mea culpa?
The Times editorials also serve as conduits for propaganda.
On August 13, a Times editorial jumped on China for "irresponsible
threats" that threaten free trade. The Times' editorialists
do not understand that the offshoring of American jobs, which
the Times mistakenly thinks is free trade, is a far greater
threat to America than a reminder from the Chinese, who are
tired of US bullying, that China is America's banker.
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Let's briefly review the "China threat" and then
turn to the real problem.
Members of the US government believe, as do many Americans,
that the Chinese currency is undervalued relative to the US
dollar and that this is the reason for America's large trade
deficit with China. Pressure continues to be applied to China
to revalue its currency in order to reduce its trade advantage
over goods made in the US.
The pressure put on China is misdirected. The exchange rate
is not the main cause of the US trade deficit with China. The
costs of labor, regulation and harassment are far lower in China,
and US corporations have offshored their production to China
in order to benefit from these lower costs. When a company shifts
its production from the US to a foreign country, it transforms
US Fross Domestic Product (GDP) into imports. Every time a US
company offshores goods and services, it adds to the US trade
deficit.
Clearly, it is a mistake for the US government and economists
to think of the imbalance as if it were produced by Chinese
companies underselling goods produced by US companies in America.
The imbalance is the result of US companies producing their
goods in China and selling them in America.
Many believe the solution is to force China to revalue its currency,
thereby driving up the prices of 70 per cent of the goods on
Wal-Mart shelves.
Mysteriously, members of the US government believe that it
would help US consumers, who are as dependent on imported manufactured
goods as they are on imported energy, to be charged higher prices.
China believes that the exchange rate is not the cause of US
offshoring and opposes any rapid change in its currency's value.
In a message issued in order to tell the US to ease off the
public bullying, China reminded Washington that the US doesn't
hold all the cards.
The NYT editorial expresses the concern that China's "threat"
will cause protectionist US lawmakers to stick on tariffs and
start a trade war. "Free trade, free market" economists
rush to tell us how bad this would be for US consumers: A tariff
would raise the price of consumer goods.
The free market economists don't tell us that dollar depreciation
would have the same effect. Goods made in China would go up
30 per cent in price if a 30 per cent tariff was placed on them,
and the goods would go up 30 percent in price if the value of
the Chinese currency rises 30 per cent against the dollar.
So, why all the fuss about tariffs?
The fuss about tariffs makes even less sense once one realizes
that the purpose of tariffs is to protect domestically produced
goods from cheaper imports. However, US tariffs today would
be imposed on the offshored production of US firms. In the era
of offshoring, corporations are not a constituency for tariffs.
Tariffs would benefit American labor, something that the US
Chamber of Commerce, the National Association of Manufacturers,
and the Republican Party would strongly oppose. A wage equalization
tariff would wipe out much of the advantage of offshoring. Profits
would come down, and with lower profits would come lower CEO
compensation and shareholder returns.
Obviously, the corporate interests and Wall Street do not want
any tariffs.
The NYT and "free trade" economists haven't caught
on, because they mistakenly think that offshoring is trade.
In fact, offshoring is labor arbitrage. US labor is simply removed
from production functions that produce goods and services for
US markets and replaced with foreign labor. No trade is involved.
Instead of being produced in America, US brand names sold in
America are produced in China.
It is not China's fault that American corporations have so
little regard for their employees and fellow citizens that they
destroy their economic opportunities and give them to foreigners
instead.
It is paradoxical that everyone is blaming China for the behavior
of American firms. What is China supposed to do, close its borders
to foreign capital?
When free market economists align, as they have done, with
foreigners against American citizens, they destroy their credibility
and the future of economic freedom. Recently the Independent
Institute, with which I am associated, stressed that free market
associations "have defended completely open immigration
and free markets in labor," emphasizing that 500 economists
signed the Independent Institute's Open Letter on Immigration
in behalf of open immigration.
Such a policy is satisfying to some in its ideological purity.
But what it means in practice is that the Americans, who are
displaced in their professional and manufacturing jobs by offshoring
and work visas for foreigners, also cannot find work in the
unskilled and semi-skilled jobs taken over by illegal immigrants.
A free market policy that gives the bird to American labor is
not going to win acceptance by the population. Such a policy
serves only the owners of capital and its senior managers.
Free market economists will dispute this conclusion. They claim
that offshoring and unrestricted immigration provide consumers
with cheaper prices in the market place. What the free market
economists do not say is that offshoring and unrestricted immigration
also provide US citizens with lower incomes, fewer job opportunities,
and less satisfying jobs. There is no evidence that consumer
prices fall by more than incomes so that US citizens can be
said to benefit materially. The psychological experience of
a citizen losing his career to a foreigner is alienating.
The free market economists ignore the fact that a country that
offshores its production also offshores its jobs. It becomes
dependent on goods and services made in foreign countries, but
lacks sufficient export earnings with which to pay for them.
A country whose workforce is being reallocated, under pressure
of offshoring, to domestic services has nothing to trade for
its imports. That is why the US trade deficit has exploded to
over $800 billion annually.
Among all the countries of the world, only the US can get away
with exploding trade deficits. The reason is that the US inherited
from Great Britain, exhausted by two world wars, the reserve
currency role. To be the reserve currency country means that
your currency is the accepted means of payment to settle international
accounts. Countries pay their oil import bills in dollars and
settle the deficits in their trade accounts in dollars.
The enormous and continuing US deficits are wearing out the
US dollar as reserve currency. A time will come when the US
cannot pay for the imports, on which it has become ever more
dependent, by flooding the world with ever more dollars.
Offshoring and free market ideology are turning the US into
a third world country. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics,
one-quarter of all new US jobs created between June 2006 and
June 2007 were for waitresses and bartenders. Almost all of
the net new US jobs in the 21st century have been in domestic
services.
Free market economists simply ignore the facts and proceed
with their ideological justifications of open borders, a policy
that is rapidly destroying the ladders of upward mobility for
the US population.