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Dollar Staggers as U.S. Unleashes Cash Flood, Deficit
Bo Nielsen and Daniel Kruger
Bloomberg
Monday, Dec 15, 2008
The biggest foreign-exchange strategists and investors say the
best may be over for the dollar after a four-month, 24 percent
rally.
The currency weakened 5.9 percent measured by the trade- weighted
Dollar Index after strengthening between July and November as
investors bought the greenback to flee riskier assets and repay
dollar-denominated loans from lenders reining in credit. Ever
since peaking on Nov. 21, the dollar fell against all 16 of the
most-widely traded currencies, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
U.S. policy makers are flooding the world with an extra $8.5
trillion through 23 different plans designed to bail out the financial
system and pump up the economy. The decline shows that the increased
supply of money may be overwhelming investors just as the government
steps up debt sales, the trade and budget deficits grow and de-leveraging
by investors slows.
(ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW)
“The dollar will go to new lows as the U.S. attacks its
currency,” said John Taylor, chairman of New York-based
FX Concepts Inc., which manages about $14.5 billion of currencies.
Citigroup Inc., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., BNP Paribas SA and
Bank of America Corp. predict further weakness. Last week was
the first time in almost a month that consensus estimates for
the dollar against the euro through 2009 fell, according to the
median forecast of 47 strategists surveyed by Bloomberg.
Taylor, whose firm manages the biggest hedge fund focusing on
foreign exchange, said while the dollar may strengthen next year,
it will fall to a record low against the euro in 2010 and to a
13-year low of 80 per yen as soon as 2009.
The dollar fell to 90.88 yen as of 11:28 a.m. in London from
91.21 in New York on Dec. 12. It declined to $1.3479 per euro
from $1.3369.
Full
article here
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INFOWARS:
BECAUSE THERE'S A WAR ON FOR YOUR MIND
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