Until Super Tuesday, many Ron Paul supporters believed his
efforts to win the presidency were best served by remaining
within the Republican Party. They believed the primaries would
end in a brokered convention from which Paul could emerge as
the "compromise" candidate. Proponents of this scenario
argued that Paul must remain a Republican, for history tells
us that third-party candidates have no chance of winning the
presidency.
The results of Super Tuesday, however, tell us that Paul now
has no chance of winning the GOP nomination. Even if front-runner
John McCain doesn't lock up the nomination, a brokered convention
of neocon delegates will choose Joe Lieberman ahead of Ron Paul.
Winning the GOP nomination would be a hollow victory anyhow,
for the Party hierarchy has shown itself willing to undermine
Paul's candidacy. The already-faltering GOP fundraising machine
would be unlikely to shower corporate donations upon a candidate
who opposes pork on principle. And given that millions of Americans
have become so outraged at this Administration that they have
sworn off voting Republican forever, the nomination could be
more drag than lift.
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Running as a Republican had benefits. The campaign generated
media attention and organized followers. But now it's plain
that wresting control of the GOP from the neocons for this election
cycle is a lost cause.
Everything changes once Ron Paul goes to a third party, however.
He would no longer be an "Also Ran," he would be "The
Spoiler." As with Nader in 2000, the establishment parties
could ignore him only at their peril. Even if he never rises
above single digits in the polls, his ideas would continue to
gain a public hearing.
But a third-party run wouldn't be just about education. There
is a good chance Paul could win that way. Yes, historically
third parties have failed in presidential elections, but in
the past third parties have always represented fringe viewpoints
– whereas today, the major parties represent fringe viewpoints,
while Paul's views harmonize with those of most Americans.
For example, most Americans want the Iraq War to end. The major-party
candidates, however, hold the fringe view that we should continue
the war through the next presidential term. In a three-way race,
Ron Paul would be the only candidate who agrees with the majority
that we should leave Iraq now.
Likewise, most Americans oppose illegal immigration. The major-party
candidates, however, hold the fringe view of granting amnesty
to illegal immigrants. In a three-way race, Ron Paul would be
the only candidate who agrees with the majority that we should
stop illegal immigration.
The biggest issue in the election is the economy, and yes,
unfortunately, most Americans think the solution to the current
economic crisis is "more stimulus." However, in a
three-way race, the economic ignorance of the major-party candidates
would soon be exposed, while Ron Paul has the expertise to coherently
explain the interrelationship between spending, deficits, and
inflation, and impress the public that he is the only one who
engages in analysis rather than pandering.
Thus, in a three-way presidential race, Ron Paul would be the
voice of moderation, while the major parties would be seen as
hijacked by socialist and imperialist fringe factions. Once
this truth sinks in, most Americans will find that Paul is not
a "fringe candidate" but instead the only candidate
who champions their concerns. (No, Beltwayites, the Constitution
is not a "fringe issue!")
It was good that Ron Paul ran as a Republican, but now let's
move on. There's no point crying over Paul's failure to win
the Republican nomination, as corruption has alienated so many
voters that the GOP is in danger of extinction anyway. Better
to run as the candidate of a third party, than of a doomed party.
True, history says that third-party presidential candidates
can't win. But long ago, a certain group of revolutionaries
contemplated that no colony had ever successfully rebelled from
its mother country. Nonetheless, they went ahead with their
enterprise, which by all accounts has been successful. Apparently,
they were living in one of those major turning points in history
for which the old rules do not apply. And you know, they didn't
even have the Internet.