By many criteria, the Ron Paul campaign has exceeded everyone’s
expectations: a $20 million fourth-quarter haul, second- and
third-place finishes after an initial field of eleven, and such
officially anointed candidates as Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson
left in the dust. But in the wake of Super Tuesday, what is
the campaign’s future? We don’t know, of course,
but here are a few possible routes that could be taken.
Sticking with the GOP. For the campaign to continue to raise
serious money after New Hampshire (and especially now), the
campaign team needed shaking up, even if only for psychological
impact, and a new slate of professionals brought in. Professional
Republican operatives are essential – they are loathsome
and couldn’t care less about the issues, to be sure, but
they know how to run a national campaign. The campaign should
also bring Trevor Lyman and Vijay Boyapati into the campaign
and give them veto power over ads and strategy in order to restore
the grassroots approach that made the movement so successful.
An ad comparing Dr. Paul to the other candidates did finally
appear in the days before Super Tuesday, but far too late. With
a record like Dr. Paul’s to boast of, these ads should
have wiped the floor with the other candidates. Running an amateurish
ad in New Hampshire about Dr. Paul’s position on health
care – health care! – is unforgivable.
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When John McCain became the front-runner, it might have been
nice to see an ad superimposing "New York Times endorsed"
over John McCain’s head, asking: When was the last time
you let the New York Times choose your president? And then perhaps
a little red meat for registered Republicans: would the New
York Times have endorsed Ronald Reagan?
Send a real message to the establishment: vote for the candidate
who has refused to play their game. Then tick off major items
from Ron Paul’s record, such as these, from the campaign
website:
The key message of the Ron Paul Revolution right now involves
the war and the economy. That is where the emphasis should be.
The phrase "none of the other candidates" needs to
be employed liberally. No other Republican knows the first thing
about the monetary system, the housing bubble or its causes,
the falling dollar, and so on. Dr. Paul has been sounding the
warning on this for years. The people he’s running against
probably couldn’t define the federal funds rate if asked;
how can they possibly deal with a crisis like this?
In states with open primaries, appeal to the idealism of the
youth vote by making public Barack Obama’s awful foreign
policy record. Obama is not antiwar. Gee whiz, he gave a speech
against the Iraq war before he was in national office. The fact
is, he has threatened war with Pakistan, won’t take a
nuclear first strike off the table, and offers up the old establishment
boilerplate about this being no time to retreat into "isolationism."
American troops will stay in 130 countries. The Iraq withdrawal
might be complete by 2013, but he can’t promise anything,
and he’s voted to fund the war all this time. He also
voted to reauthorize the Patriot Act.
This represents "change" how, exactly?
Independent Run. Should Dr. Paul choose to run as an independent,
his choice of running mate could significantly energize the
campaign and help it draw in still more of the disaffected.
Someone with star power and name recognition, a take-no-prisoners
stage presence, and a willingness to name names could make a
splash. We’ve heard Judge Andrew Napolitano’s name
mentioned. Napolitano is senior judicial analyst for the Fox
News Channel (but don’t hold that against him; he is a
great man). Napolitano has modest name recognition, but he’s
written some excellent books, is very knowledgeable, and is
a more powerful and energetic speaker than anyone running.
At the very least, it would be interesting to observe the Fox
News Channel pretend their own senior judicial analyst doesn’t
even exist.
The Paul/Napolitano ticket would need to raise enough money
to reach the public via Perot-style infomercials. In those infomercials
the two candidates should divide the airtime right down the
middle. These points would need emphasizing:
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First, the phony choice
the public is being offered. The establishment is insulting
your intelligence with these candidates.
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The ways the Constitution
has been trampled on.
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The financial crisis facing
the country. We do not have the money for a $1 trillion empire
that is making us less secure to boot. We do not have the
money for the domestic promises we’ve made, much less
the new ones all other candidates are making. We face a nearly
$60 trillion shortfall! The political class – Democrats
and Republicans alike – is destroying the dollar in
their efforts to pay for all this extravagance with money
we don’t have.
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The complete inability
of the other candidates to deal with this crisis. Their utter
ignorance of economics. If this isn’t Dr. Paul’s
style, leave it to Judge Napolitano. But this part can’t
be ignored.
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The way out. A sensible,
pro-freedom, pro-Constitution vision. Make this as inspiring
as possible.
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Then conclude: What we’ve
just shared with you tonight is common sense. And yet you’ve
never heard any politician, or any talking head in the media,
speak to you like this or give you this kind of information.
Why not? Isn’t it about time you supported someone who
did?
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Hold up Ron Paul’s
new book The Revolution: A Manifesto, and urge them to read
it if they want to know what’s really going on, what
they’re not being told, and what we all need to do about
it.
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The media has already
decided for you which candidates you’re supposed to
vote for. Why not let them know you’ve chosen to think
for yourself?
Withdrawal. Finally, Dr. Paul could leave the race altogether,
focusing instead on campaigning for House and Senate candidates
around the country who are committed to his platform. A minority
of his supporters favor this approach.
Final Thoughts
Regardless of what Dr. Paul does, the idea behind the Liberty
War Chest is a good one. If 100,000 people donated $500 over
the next two years (a mere $20 per month), there would be $50
million in seed money for 2010 congressional races. And the
Revolution moves forward.
We’re not sure ourselves which is the best route for
Dr. Paul. We do know that we trust his judgment, and that we’ll
be right by his side, at his service, no matter what he chooses.
We await his orders.