US defence officials are considering shooting down a rogue
American spy satellite in order to prevent its top-secret technology
falling into enemy hands, according to reports.
Aviation Week revealed yesterday that Pentagon sources had
confirmed the sat shootdown plans, though it is not yet certain
that the US will put them into effect.
The surveillance satellite in question was manufactured by
arms behemoth Lockheed for the US National Reconnaissance Office,
and failed to come online as intended after being launched.
Its price is unknown, the purchase having been made using secret
"black" funding, but such hardware can be extremely
expensive.
The errant spacecraft is expected to start experiencing worsened
braking effect from the upper reaches of the atmosphere shortly,
within the next few weeks, which will cause it to plunge deeper
and so descend to Earth. The exact trajectory and impact point
is uncertain, as are the effects on the satellite itself. It
might break up into small pieces and be more or less totally
destroyed, or substantial parts might come down relatively intact.
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The Pentagon has been happy in past weeks for the media - previously
including the Reg - to focus on safety concerns such as debris
hitting populated areas. The satellite's unused hydrazine manoeuvring
fuel - which would have been used to shift orbits and pass over
different areas, had the platform actually worked - has also
been mentioned extensively.
In fact, however, these concerns are relatively minor. Even
if large chunks of satellite did come down in a densely-populated
area, the disaster potential is quite small compared to humdrum
events such as gales or motorway pileups.
Similarly, while hydrazine is indeed nasty stuff, the satellite's
fuel tank poses no great danger. Even in the unlikely event
of the tank reaching ground still full and then rupturing, the
resulting toxic plume would not affect people further than 20
or 30 yards away.
Similarly, if the satellite were carrying a radioisotope power
source (a pint-size nuclear generator, sometimes used on US
spy sats and deep-space probes) - which is categorically denied
in this case - the danger would not be massive. Several Russian
nuclear-powered spy satellites crashed or reentered uncontrolled
back in Cold War times, without noticeable effects.
This kind of concern would frankly not be sufficient to get
the Pentagon thinking about drastic options such as orbital
or upper-atmosphere strikes. Indeed, under some contingencies
shooting at the satellite could actually break it up and spread
potentially dangerous fragments over a wider area.
If, in fact, the satellite comes down in North America, as
the Pentagon has publicly hinted it might, one may be sure that
the US spy community will breathe a massive sigh of relief -
much though they might not make that attitude public.
Full
article here.