Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan on Thursday
said the U.S. economy is "clearly on the edge" of
a recession.
Greenspan said the economy will continue to erode until there
is a stabilization of U.S. housing prices.
"We have a long way to go" before housing prices
hit a bottom, Greenspan told energy executives at the CERA conference.
High oil prices are dragging on the economy, but the fact that
they haven't done more damage shows its resiliency.
"It's a burden now," Greenspan said. He added that
it's "quite remarkable" that the U.S. economy is "able
to do reasonably well" with oil prices near historic highs.
Crude oil futures hit above $95 a barrel on Thursday and went
above $100 in early January.
(Article continues below)
Greenspan again -- as he had last month -- said that the likelihood
of the U.S. economy going into recession was "50 percent
or better."
He said the U.S. economy was growing at "stall speed."
"Stagflation is too strong a term for what we are on the
edge of," Greenspan said.
The subprime mortgage crisis would already have put the United
States into recession if U.S. businesses weren't healthy in
part as the result of years of low interest rates, Greenspan
said.
"If businesses weren't in extraordinarily good shape,
I have no doubt we wouldn't be asking if we're in a recession,
but how long and how deep," Greenspan said.
Full
article here.