By the end of this year one half of the world's population
will be living in cities for the first time in human history,
the United Nations said in a new report released on Tuesday.
According to the report, by the year 2050 there will be 6.4
billion people living in cities, up from 3.3 billion at present.
The world's total population is expected to rise to 9.2 billion
in 2050 from the current figure of 6.7 billion.
As urbanization increases, the world's rural population is
expected to begin declining in around a decade and should
fall to 2.8 billion people in 2050 from 3.4 billion in 2007,
the report said.
Some countries, like India -- home to two of the world's
biggest metropolises, Mumbai and Delhi with 19 and 18.8 million
people respectively in 2007 -- aim to slow down the process
of urbanization by encouraging development of rural areas.
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Despite the challenges urbanization poses for governments
and local authorities, Hania Zlotnik, head of the U.N. Population
Division, told reporters urbanization is generally a sign
of a lively economy.
"Governments would be well advised that urban growth
is a proof of economic dynamism," Zlotnik told reporters.
Still, intense urbanization and the expected addition of
eight new "megacities" -- cities with 10 million
or more inhabitants -- by the year 2025 will pose new challenges.
Governments need to make sure large urban populations have
access to basic services, above all health care, Zlotnik said.
Asia and Africa are still mostly rural but will see booming
urban populations over the next few decades. Both have around
40 percent in cities and 60 percent in the countryside now.
But this is steadily changing. Half of Africa's population
will be in cities by between 2045 and 2050 while Asia will
reach that point between 2020 and 2025, Zlotnik said.
MEGACITIES
Around 40 percent of China's population is in cities now,
a figure that is expected to exceed 70 percent by 2050, when
over 1 billion people will be living in Chinese cities, she
said.
By 2025, China's booming foreign investment center Shenzhen,
which borders Hong Kong, will join Beijing and Shanghai as
China's third megacity with 10.2 million people, the U.N.
report projected.
The world's second most populous country, India, has only
29 percent of its population in cities at the moment. By 2050,
India will have 55 percent of its people in urban centers.
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