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Gold steadies at lower levels as markets digest Fed rate cut

Thomson Financial
Thursday January 31, 2008

Gold steadied at lower levels as players digested the effects of yesterday's widely expected rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, which weighed heavily on the dollar but failed to boost global equities.

The Fed yesterday cut rates by 50 basis points and indicated further rate cuts are on the horizon as the US economy slows in the face of a housing and credit market crisis.

The move, which came after a 75 basis point emergency cut last week, failed to reassure markets, with US equities closing lower on the day and shares in Europe falling today.

'The FOMC statement points to another rate cut ... these factors make gold more attractive against further US dollar weakness,' said Dresdner Bank (other-otc: DRSDY.PK - news - people ) analyst Peter Fertig.

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He noted, however, that the main argument for the cut was the considerable stress of financial markets and tight credit - which quickly returned to centre stage amid rumours rating agencies are to downgrade bond insurers.

Equity market weakness can in the short term weigh on gold as it forces players to sell profitable gold holdings to raise cash to cover margin calls in equities.

Longer term, however, the outlook for gold remains positive as the rate cuts point to more dollar weakness ahead, and as the broader US economic troubles increase the appeal of gold as a safe haven asset.

'Further US dollar weakness should cause gold prices to rise further from here to potentially break 950 usd an ounce in the next few weeks,' said Fairfax analyst John Meyer.

Gold is seen as an alternative asset to the US currency and often moves in the opposite direction to it.

At 10.01 am, spot gold was trading at 920.40 usd per ounce against 921.25 usd in late New York trades yesterday. On Tuesday gold touched a record high of 932.98 usd.

Gold has gained some 18 pct since Sept 18 last year, when the Fed began cutting borrowing costs amid the onset of the housing market crisis and credit crunch.

Full article here.

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