Gulf economies will move away from a dollar currency peg and
shift foreign exchange reserves away from dollar to other currencies,
including the Chinese yuan, the chief executive of Dubai International
Financial Centre (DIFC) has said.
Nasser al-Shaali noted that the UAE central bank had already
started buying euros - part of its strategy to move about 10
per cent of its reserves into the single European currency before
the end of the year.
"We've seen, for example in the case of the UAE central
bank, a movement into the euro," al-Shaali told the Reuters
Middle East Investment Summit.
"In the future, most likely, we predict some of the economies
in the region will adopt the Chinese yuan currency as well,"
he said, noting that he was not aware of that happening at the
moment.
He said the appetite of the region as a whole was to increasingly
diversify exposure.
"The investment strategies of Dubai Holdings entities,
Kuwait Investment Authority and so on ... you will see a lot
of these bodies start looking at Eastern Asia more aggressively
along with a lot of institutional and private investors in the
region," he said.
Deadlines
Saudi Arabia, the largest Gulf Arab economy, as well as Qatar,
Oman and Bahrain have ruled out changes to their dollar pegs,
adopted in preparation for a monetary union planned for 2010.
But the UAE and Kuwait, the third largest economy, have questioned
the peg after the dollar fell about 10 per cent against the
euro last year.
A Reuters poll of 15 analysts last week showed Gulf Arab states
will probably not meet the deadline for currency union as member
nations grapple with inflation and budget criteria, but Kuwait
may revalue its currency before then.
Twelve of the 15 analysts, surveyed between March 16-20, said
it was unlikely or very unlikely that the six members of the
Gulf Corporation Council (GCC), representing the world's biggest
oil exporting region, would meet its single currency target
in three years.