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ImPeden Reality
Johnny Kramer
Lew
Rockwell.com
Thursday, March 6, 2008
If anyone doesn't know, Ron Paul crushed the
challenger for his Congressional seat, neocon Chris Peden,
with a 70% landslide victory in Tuesday's Republican primary.
Ron faces no Democratic opponent in the November general
election, so he has effectively been returned to Congress.
Chris Peden
Tom Woods exposed Peden, who's a 43-year-old CPA and Friendswod,
Texas city councilman.
As Tom documented, Peden told The Galveston Daily News in
January 2007, "I have an immense amount of respect for
Ron Paul. Politics has a way of forcing people to go against
their core principles for political gain. That has never been
the case for Ron Paul."
(Article continues below)
Then, in May, Peden announced that he was challenging for
Ron's Congressional seat.
It's possible to admire a person for sticking to their principles
even when you disagree with those principles. So there's nothing
inherently wrong with Peden running against Ron over honest
disagreements, as long as he presents Ron's positions accurately.
But, as Tom also documented, that's not how Peden ran his
campaign; instead, he deliberately distorted Ron's views using
typical, shallow neocon rhetoric, like saying Ron "blames
America" for 9/11 and that Ron is a "liberal."
No master of subtlety, Peden also hilariously used a professional,
smiling portrait of himself when comparing his positions to
Ron's on his campaign site; the link on the homepage showed
Ron making an out-of-context silly face, while the linked
page listing Ron's (distorted) positions showed Ron with an
out-of-context sneer.
The way Peden suddenly decided to run against Ron only after
Ron's presidential campaign looked like it might succeed –
meaning that Ron's focus wasn't as much on defending his House
seat as it would otherwise be, and that he would abandon the
seat if he managed to win the nomination; and the way Peden
flip-flopped from praising Ron to viciously attacking him
– indicates that Peden is a typical opportunistic politician
who will say whatever he has to say, and betray whomever he
has to betray, to attain power.
And his verbatim spouting of empty neocon talking points
indicates that he was probably drafted into the race by the
GOP Establishment to try to get rid of Ron.
Even his Paulian rhetoric of belief in "free markets,
smaller government, and individual responsibility" was
self-evidently false, just based on the fact that he was trying
to depose the man who has possibly the best record on those
issues of any politician in American history.
The Old Media
As usual, the media attempted to carry out their (dying)
role as opinion makers by informing the public that Peden
was not only the better choice, but was a serious threat to
Ron. This method, which is often used by the media, is known
in marketing as perception precedes reality; to spot it, look
for statements that are misleading but technically not lies,
or for impressive-sounding statements that are vague and unprovable.
Here's a random sampling of some Establishment media stories
that attempted to give readers the mental image of Ron working
at his desk with Chris Peden standing behind him, measuring
for drapes.
Writing in November in The Hill, a prominent Congressional
newspaper, Texas-based GOP pollster David Hill wrote, "Recent
polling by another Texas Republican pollster confirms that
Paul’s electorate doesn’t appreciate the increasingly
leftish libertarian bent of Paul’s voting record.
In the eyes of voters, Paul is now also wrong to oppose
the Patriot Act, off base on energy policy that affects
Texas enormously, and to be faulted for knee-jerk opposition
to the fight against terror in the Middle East.
"The difference this time is that Paul’s critics
have a bona fide challenger lined up: Chris Peden, a mainline
social conservative who has distinguished himself opposing
the tax hijinks of local elected officials. If Paul files
to run for both Congress and the presidency by the Jan.
2 deadline, he’ll likely lose to Peden on March 4.
That’ll be OK, though. Dr. Paul can just move to New
Hampshire where the libertarian Free State Project might
try and elect him their first governor, leveraging the boost
in name ID and image that his presidential bid will have
wrought. Good riddance."
Mistaken predictions can be forgiven; I wrote in December
that Ron was likely to be the next president, and I couldn't
have been more wrong.
But my prediction was an honest assessment of how I saw the
situation at the time, mainly based on the fact that Ron was
raising as much money online as the Establishment front-runners
were raising through various methods, despite a media blackout
of his campaign, and that there were logical reasons to think
that the polls weren't accurately measuring Ron's support
due to their antiquated polling methods.
In contrast, David Hill's prediction was a distortion of
reality based solely on the convoluted logic – which
itself was based solely on undocumented, anecdotal evidence
– that many people in Ron's district – where Ron
has been reelected six consecutive times – suddenly
don't like Ron's positions – positions which hadn't
changed. His prediction also ignored the fact that Peden finished
the third quarter of 2007 with $400 on-hand; and that, barring
a Ted Stevens-like scandal, the reelection rate for Congresspersons
and Senators is more than 90%.
Roll Call, another prominent newspaper covering
Capitol Hill, ran a one-sided news article in December titled
"Ron Paul in Peril?"; it offered no evidence that
Peden had a chance to unseat Paul.
An ABC News story the day of the primary,
similarly titled "Paul in Peril," described Ron
as "fighting for his day job" and "fighting
for his political life," but also offered no evidence
that Peden had the slightest chance to win.
Neocon news magazine The Weekly Standard ran an article
asserting that Peden was a "serious threat," that
Ron's "political career might suffer a fatal blow,"
and "Unless the Ronulans are willing to move to Texas
en masse, he's probably in serious trouble."
An article last month in The American Spectator
contended that "Paul may genuinely be in trouble,"
that he "isn't acting like an incumbent who is taking
his congressional primary for granted," that "Paul
has faced long odds before," implying that he faced long
odds in this race too, and "It is nevertheless jarring
to see Paul go so quickly from a presidential candidate whose
campaign was giving likely GOP nominee John McCain the willies
to a congressional incumbent looking over his shoulder at
a little-known local pol. Is a revolutionary without honor
in his own House district?"
The common thread through all of these articles was the undocumented
"evidence" that Ron was in danger of losing due
to his seat due to his presidential campaign publicizing his
views – which haven't changed, and which he has always
been up-front about – to his constituents for the first
time; and that, to a lesser extent, he had neglected his district
by spending too much time running for president.
Predictably, The Victoria Advocate and The
Galveston Daily News – two newspapers in the district
– endorsed Peden.
From the perspective of voters, I've never been able to understand
the point of political endorsements, because the only way
an endorsement could be effective is to tip the scale in favor
of two virtually interchangeable candidates, either of whom
any one voter would've supported anyway; an endorsement can't
convince anyone who's not a mindless sheep to vote for someone
just based on the endorsement.
From the perspective of voters, I've never been
able to understand the point of political endorsements, because
the only way an endorsement could be effective is to tip the
scale in favor of two virtually interchangeable candidates,
either of whom any one voter would've supported anyway; an
endorsement can't convince anyone who's not a mindless sheep
to vote for someone just based on the endorsement.
For example, I have confidence in Ron Paul's knowledge and
judgment. If he and I were involved in the LP, and I couldn't
decide at the convention between two presidential candidates
who each seemed about as good as the other, Ron's endorsement
of one over the other might sway me to his choice if the reasoning
behind it was convincing to me. But if Ron dropped out of
the GOP race and endorsed McCain, it wouldn't make me support
McCain; it would make me wonder if Ron had suffered a stroke.
So hardly any Paul supporters would even consider Peden,
and vice-versa.
But the pièce de résistance was a recent
(New Media, but neocon) Pajamas Media story by Roger L.
Simon, claiming that (phantom) "internal polling"
by both campaigns showed Peden with a "double-digit"
lead over Ron. This sort of thing is done frequently in
politics, and it's another perception precedes reality scam.
Even in reporting Ron's win, Roll Call continued
to claim that he had been "endangered" and "vulnerable."
The media's influence is dying
The media constantly try to distort reality. Sometimes they
succeed; sometimes they fail. But, thanks to the Internet,
the trend is more and more toward failure.
Their blackout of Ron's presidential campaign was effective
at removing any chance he had to be president. But Ron accomplished
a lot in the past year, all due to the Internet, and it all
would've been impossible just 16 years ago.
And the technology will continue to advance (for example,
it's mind-boggling to think that video sites like YouTube
didn't exist in 2004), young people who never knew the world
without it will continue to be born and grow up, and old people
who don't use it will continue to pass away
So the day is likely coming when such a media blackout won't
succeed.
Fortunately, even now it's much more difficult for the media
to smear someone who's already well-known and well-liked than
it is for them to ruin an unknown's campaign by ignoring him,
so those who tried to cost Ron his Congressional seat failed.
So be grateful: although Congressman Paul isn't as good as
President Paul, it's a heck of a lot better than Congressman
Peden.
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