OTTAWA -- Investors are abandoning the U.S. dollar
and plowing their money into oil, creating a disconnect between
crude prices and demand for oil.
Crude oil prices shot up a stunning $5 (U.S.) to a new closing
record of $104.52 a barrel yesterday as investors dumped U.S.
dollars and fuelled a broad commodity market frenzy.
Despite signs of a slowdown in U.S. oil consumption, several
factors drove prices sharply higher, including a decision
by members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
not to boost production, a steep drop in U.S. crude inventories
and the threat of war between Colombia and oil-rich Venezuela.
But a broader trend is fuelling the rise of oil prices and
overtaking the crude market's fundamentals.
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Even as signs emerge that demand for fuel is weakening in
the U.S., investors are bailing out of the U.S. dollar and
moving into commodities. Gold and metals are soaring along
with oil as investors seek to hedge against the slumping greenback
and rising inflation that has resulted from the devalued currency
and high energy costs.
"A great portion of the buying from $80 [per barrel]
to now close to $105 is from investment people who wouldn't
know a barrel of oil if it rolled over them," said Peter
Beutel, president of Cameron Hanover, a Connecticut-based
energy risk management firm. "A lot of it has been done
by people who are trying to protect against inflation and
against the declining U.S. dollar."
Currency traders are moving out of the recession-battered
U.S. dollar and into commodities, which benefit from strong
economic growth in Asia and other emerging markets, said Mary
Novak, energy analyst with Global Insight Inc.
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