The dollar was up against the yen as risk appetite picked
up following rumours that the US Federal Reserve is considering
a series of new measures to improve conditions in the credit
markets.
The Fed is widely expected to cut US interest rates by 75
basis points when it meets next week but reports are now circulating
that it could also implement a series of other measures to
improve liquidity conditions. These include the Fed purchasing
mortgage-backed securities issues and offering to lend directly
to non-banks.
These reports lifted stocks markets in Asia and pushed up
the yields on US Treasuries as investors' worries about the
state of the American financial subsided slightly.
Ashley Davies, currency strategist at UBS (nyse: UBS - news
- people ), said the reports will provide the dollar with
some short-term support due to the rise in bond yields and
drop in concern about the banking sector. However, he said
even if the measures do come to fruition they are unlikely
to prevent the US currency continuing to depreciate in the
medium term.
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'To the extent that the policy measures are being inspired
by concerns that banks have insufficient capital then it seems
unlikely that the US dollar would be out of the woods by any
stretch of the imagination and surely risk appetite will remain
fragile,' he said.
The only major US release due out today is the January trade
balance, which is expected to show a slight widening in the
deficit to 59.6 bln usd from 58.8 bln in December.
Meanwhile the euro was steady ahead of the release of a key
German economic expectations survey, stabilising after moving
lower against the dollar yesterday.
The ZEW survey is expected to show confidence in the euro
zone's largest economy deteriorated during February, with
the economic expectations index dropping to -40 from -39.5.
'A weak German ZEW index today may well be used as an excuse
to intensify
profit taking and consolidation against the dollar, especially
since the US trade balance is unlikely to have a major market
impact,' said Gavin Friend, currency strategist at Commerzbank.
Yesterday comments from European Central Bank president Jean
Claude Trichet on the strength of the euro sent the currency
lower as it raised the distant possibility the bank could
intervene in the forex market.
Full
article here.