Crude oil for April delivery hit $110 per barrel. The US
dollar fell to a new low against the Euro. It now takes $1.55
to purchase one Euro.
These new highs against the dollar are the ongoing story
of the collapse of the US dollar as world reserve currency
and corresponding collapse of American power.
Each new decision from the insane Bush regime pushes the
dollar a little further along to oblivion. The same Fed announcement
that boosted the stock market on March 11 sent the dollar
reeling and the price of oil up. The Fed’s announcement
that it and other central banks are going to deal with the
derivative crisis by monetizing $200 billion of the troubled
instruments signaled more dollar inflation.
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Of course, something needed to be done to forestall an implosion
of the financial system, but a less costly alternative was
at hand. The mark-to-market rule could have been suspended
in order to halt the forced sale and write down of assets
and to provide time in which to sort out derivative values,
which are higher than the fire sale prices.
More pressure on the dollar resulted from the decision to
award the European company, Airbus, a $40 billion contract
that could reach $100 billion to build US Air Force tankers.
In simple terms, that means another $40 to $100 billion added
to the US trade deficit, and a loss of $40 to $100 billion
in US Gross Domestic Product and associated jobs.
Of course, the Bush regime had to award the contract to Europe
as a payoff for Europe’s support of the Bush regime’s
wars of aggression in the Middle East. Europe is not going
to provide Bush with diplomatic cover for his wars and NATO
troops for his war in Afghanistan without a payoff.
Here is the picture: The US economy, which has been kept
alive by enormous debt expansion that has over-reached its
limit, is falling into recession. The traditional way out
by expanding the supply of money and credit is blocked by
the impaired banking system, the levels of consumer debt,
the collapsing value of the US dollar, and rising inflation.
The Bush regime is attempting to bypass the stalled credit
expansion by sending Americans $600 checks, money that will
mainly be used to reduce existing credit card debt and not
to fund new consumption.
The US is dependent on foreigners not only for energy but
also for manufactured goods and advanced technology products.
The US is dependent on foreigners to finance our consumption
of $800 billion annually more than the US produces. The US
is dependent on foreigners to finance its red ink wars, and
the US government’s budget deficit is now expanding
as tax revenues decline with the declining economy.
The bottom line: US power is enfeebled. US power depends
on the willingness of foreigners to finance our wars and on
the willingness of foreigners to continue to accumulate depreciating
dollar assets.
The US cannot close its trade deficit. Oil prices are rising,
and offshore production of goods and services for US markets
results in a dollar-for-dollar increase in imports, while
reducing the supply of domestic goods available for export.
The US cannot close its budget deficit while it is squandering
vast sums on wars that serve no US purpose, handing out $150
billion in red ink rebates, and falling into recession.
US living standards, which have been stagnant for years,
will plummet once dollar decline forces China off the dollar
peg. So far prices of the Chinese-made goods on Wal-Mart shelves
have not risen, because the Chinese currency, pegged to the
dollar, falls in value with the dollar. In a word, tottering
US living standards are being supported by China’s willingness
to subsidize US consumption by keeping its currency grossly
undervalued.
The US is overextended economically and militarily, just
as was Great Britain with the fall of France in the opening
days of World War II. The British had the Americans to bail
them out. After the chewing gum and bailing wire patch-ups
are exhausted, who is going to bail us out?