Global stock markets may have cheered the US Federal Reserve
yesterday, but on Wall Street the Fed's unprecedented move
to pump $280 billion (£140 billion) into global markets
was seen as a sure sign that at least one financial institution
was struggling to survive.
The name on most people's lips was Bear Stearns. Although
the Fed billed the co-ordinated rescue as a way of improving
liquidity across financial markets, economists and analysts
said that the decision appeared to be driven by an urgent
need to stave off the collapse of an American bank.
“The only reason the Fed would do this is if they knew
one or more of their primary dealers actually wasn't flush
with cash and needed funds in a hurry,” Simon Maughan,
an analyst with MF Global in London, said.
(Article continues below)
Mr Maughan said that the most likely victim was Bear Stearns,
the first bank to run into trouble in the sub-prime crisis
and the one that, among all wholesale and investment banks,
is most reliant upon the use of mortgage securities for raising
funds in the money markets.
“The average financial institution was up 7.5 per cent
yesterday after the Fed's actions, but Bear Stearns rose just
1 per cent on massive trading volume,” Mr Maughan said.
“The market is telling you it's Bear Stearns.”
The Fed's intervention sparked fears of deeper underlying
trouble because it came only days after it had made $200 billion
(£99 billion) available in emergency funds. The nature
of the financing was also unusual, bankers say, because it
was the first time that the Fed had offered to lend Treasury
securities in exchange for ordinary AAA-rated mortgage-backed
securities as collateral.
Chris Whalen, of the financial consultancy Institutional
Risk Analytics in New York, said: “The Fed move is confirmation
that at least one of the banks is in trouble. A huge part
of the banks' inventories are illiquid. If a broker-dealer
is illiquid, it dies.”
Speculation has swirled for months about the collapse of
an American bank as the credit crisis has escalated and spread
from sub-prime to other mortgage-backed securities, treasuries
and bonds. As well as Bear Stearns, attention has focused
on UBS, the Swiss bank, which has been forced to make more
than $18 billion in sub-prime writedowns, and Citigroup, the
world's largest financial institution, which has turned to
sovereign wealth funds to help to shore up its credit-stricken
balance sheet.
Full
article here.