With the dollar plunging and the Federal Reserve slashing
interest rates, markets are on alert for any signs that
foreign investors, particularly in Asia, are buying fewer
US assets.
But while some private investors may be heading for the
exit, analysts say the authorities in Japan and China look
set to hold their nerve as the value of their vast dollar
reserves declines.
The world's largest economy has long relied on foreign
purchases of Treasuries (US government bonds) to finance
its huge debt.
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With the yield on those bonds now falling as the Fed tries
to contain the credit crisis, higher return assets in other
countries have become more attractive.
The Fed has now slashed its federal funds rate by 300 basis
points from 5.25 percent last September, while the dollar
has hit a series of record lows against the euro and a 12-year
trough versus the yen.
"Foreign investors bought 80 to 90 percent of total
US Treasuries last year," said Akihiro Nishida, senior
economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities. "When the dollar
goes down, investors certainly have an incentive to sell."
While the sale of US assets by individual investors could
put extra pressure on the ailing dollar, a potentially bigger
risk is that central banks in Asia and elsewhere might sell
some of their stacks of greenbacks.
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