Rush Limbaugh would like little more than to see Democrats
Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama keep fighting each other
for at least the next month, if not until the Democratic Convention
itself.
Before the Texas and Ohio primaries in early March, the conservative
talker began encouraging listeners to cross over and cast
ballots for Clinton in Democratic primaries. At the very least,
he figured, the Democrats would keep fighting each other and
let GOP nominee John McCain float above the fray. In perhaps
his most optimistic scenario, Clinton would grab the nomination,
giving the right another crack at one of their favorite foes
in a general election campaign.
Limbaugh dubbed his scheme "Operation Chaos," and
plenty of signs were emerging Tuesday evening that it was
working, especially in Indiana, where Clinton appeared headed
for a slim victory. Exit polls conducted by the major news
networks showed an unusually high number of Clinton supporters
planned to vote for McCain in the fall and felt the former
first lady did not share their values.
(Article continues below)
Indiana exit polls showed that four in ten Democrats who
said they would vote for McCain over Clinton in a general
election nonetheless voted for Clinton on Tuesday; however,
just twelve percent who would vote for McCain over Obama voted
for the Illinois senator.
Citing this figure, the Obama campaign sent an e-mail to
reporters Tuesday night arguing that 7 percent of the Indiana
electorate could be attributed to the "Limbaugh effect"
-- 41 percent of the 17 percent who said they'd vote for McCain
over Clinton but still supported Clinton.
A similar discrepancy was evident in North Carolina exit
polls.
Evidence of meddling Republicans also presented itself when
they were asked which candidate shared their values. A third
of Indianans said Clinton did not share their values, yet
twenty percent of those voters still supported the New York
senator. A similar portion said Obama did not share their
values, but only seven percent of those voters supported him
in the primary. The discrepancy was smaller in North Carolina,
but voters there also were more likely to support Clinton
despite believing that she didn't share their values. Of the
ten percent of Indiana voters who thought neither Clinton
nor Obama shared their values, three in four cast ballots
for Clinton.
On his show Tuesday afternoon, as Indiana and North Carolina
voters were heading to the polls, Limbaugh crowed about early
reports of his success.
"I have also been receiving field reports via email
today ... from people, commandos, operatives, reporting that
they have followed orders and fulfilled their duty. Nobody's
been challenged. The Indiana voters all say that they have
not been challenged, and they were hoping to be," he
said. "In fact, some of the people show up and they ask
for a Democrat ballot, and the poll worker says, 'Why, what
are you going to do?' He says, 'Operation Chaos,' and they
just laugh. 'Oh, is that what's going on here?' one poll worker
said."
Along with the exit polls, anecdotal evidence was emerging
that it was having at least some effect.
Crooks & Liars blogger SilentPatriot was less convinced
of Limbaugh's effectiveness based on another piece of exit
poll data.
"The way it's looking now, Republicans, who account
for 11% of the entire Indiana electorate, have voted for Hillary
by the same margin that the entire state has," they wrote.
"Stick to ruining your own party, Rush. Lord knows you've
done a fantastic job at that."
The Huffington Post's Sam Stein saw a few possible explanations
for the exit poll data.
"A) Clinton's support in Indiana, while clearly there,
is not entirely solid; B) a large swath of Indiana primary
goers simply didn't like the nominees and thought of Clinton
as the lesser of two evils; or C) Limbaugh's hatchet plan
could be having political ripples," he wrote, adding
that each factor could be having some effect.
Full
article here.