The euro fell to an eight-week low against the dollar and
had its biggest decline in almost two months versus the yen
on speculation the European Central Bank will signal concern
today that economic growth is slowing.
The currency declined for a second day after the yield spread
between two-year German notes and Treasuries narrowed as investors
bet the sputtering economy will force the ECB to cut interest
rates this year. Policy makers will leave the key rate on
hold today, according to a Bloomberg survey. ECB President
Jean-Claude Trichet will give a press conference later. The
yen rose as slumping Asian stocks prompted investors to sell
higher- yielding holdings funded in the Japanese currency.
``The euro is falling today because investors are positioning
for a possible shift in rhetoric during the conference,''
said Michael Klawitter, currency strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort
in Frankfurt. ``I think it's too early to make any changes
in the statement, but there's a chance they might emphasize
more on downside risks to growth this time.''
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The euro traded at $1.5342 at 10:25 a.m. in London, from
$1.5392 yesterday in New York and fell to $1.5285 earlier,
the lowest since March 11. It also slipped to 159.51 yen,
from 161.23 yesterday, after trading at 159.05 yen, the weakest
since April 14. The yen rose to 103.98 versus the dollar,
from 104.73.
The yield gap between two-year German notes and Treasuries
narrowed to 150 basis points today, from 152 basis points
yesterday and the record high of 185 basis points March 31.
All 53 economists in a Bloomberg survey predict the ECB will
leave rates on hold at a six-year high of 4 percent. A separate
survey shows analysts expect the central bank to start cutting
is benchmark rate in the third quarter.