The terrorist assault on Mumbai’s five-star hotels was
well planned, but did not require a great deal of logistic intelligence:
all the targets were soft. The aim was to create mayhem by shining
the spotlight on India and its problems and in that the terrorists
were successful. The identity of the black-hooded group remains
a mystery.
The Deccan Mujahedeen, which claimed the outrage in an e-mail
press release, is certainly a new name probably chosen for this
single act. But speculation is rife. A senior Indian naval officer
has claimed that the attackers (who arrived in a ship, the M
V Alpha) were linked to Somali pirates, implying that this was
a revenge attack for the Indian Navy’s successful if bloody
action against pirates in the Arabian Gulf that led to heavy
casualties some weeks ago.
The Indian Prime Minister, Manmohan Singh, has insisted that
the terrorists were based outside the country. The Indian media
has echoed this line of argument with Pakistan (via the Lashkar-e-Taiba)
and al-Qaeda listed as the usual suspects.
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But this is a meditated edifice of official India’s political
imagination. Its function is to deny that the terrorists could
be a homegrown variety, a product of the radicalization of young
Indian Muslims who have finally given up on the indigenous political
system. To accept this view would imply that the country’s
political physicians need to heal themselves.
Al Qaeda, as the CIA recently made clear, is a group on the
decline. It has never come close to repeating anything vaguely
resembling the hits of 9/11.
Its principal leader Osama bin Laden may well be dead (he certainly
did not make his trademark video intervention in this year’s
Presidential election in the United States) and his deputy has
fallen back on threats and bravado.
What of Pakistan? The country’s military is heavily involved
in actions on its Northwest frontier where the spillage from
the Afghan war has destabilized the region. The politicians
currently in power are making repeated overtures to India. The
Lashkar-e-Taiba, not usually shy of claiming its hits, has strongly
denied any involvement with the Mumbai attacks.
Why should it be such a surprise if the perpetrators are themselves
Indian Muslims? Its hardly a secret that there has been much
anger within the poorest sections of the Muslim community against
the systematic discrimination and acts of violence carried out
against them of which the 2002 anti-Muslim pogrom in shining
Gujarat was only the most blatant and the most investigated
episode, supported by the Chief Minister of the State and the
local state apparatuses.
Add to this the continuing sore of Kashmir which has for decades
been treated as a colony by Indian troops with random arrests,
torture and rape of Kashmiris an everyday occurrence. Conditions
have been much worse than in Tibet, but have aroused little
sympathy in the West where the defense of human rights is heavily
instrumentalised.
Indian intelligence outfits are well aware of all this and
they should not encourage the fantasies of their political leaders.
Its best to come out and accept that there are severe problems
inside the country. A billion Indians: 80 percent Hindus and
14 percent Muslims. A very large minority that cannot be ethnically
cleansed without provoking a wider conflict.
None of this justifies terrorism, but it should, at the very
least, force India’s rulers to direct their gaze on their
own country and the conditions that prevail. Economic disparities
are profound. The absurd notion that the trickle-down effects
of global capitalism would solve most problems can now be seen
for what it always was: a fig leaf to conceal new modes of exploitation.